New Marquette Law School poll shows Biden and Trump tied among registered voters
Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s popularity rose in polls from March to May.
Updated: May 24, 2024 1:22 PM CDT
That's today's news and politics. Presidents Joe Biden and Donald Trump are set to face off in two debates this summer. The first one will be on June 27th in early summer and the other on September 10th in late summer here on WISN 12. Now let's join us in studio to discuss this with Charles Franklin, Director of Polling at Marquette Law School. Charles, it's great to have you here. Well, it all came together pretty quickly today. We saw a video message from President Joe Biden. Well, here it is. Donald Trump lost two debates with me in 2020 and hasn't shown up to a debate since. Now he's acting like he wants a debate. It would make my day if I did it again, my friend. I'll do it twice. So let's set a date. Donald, I heard you're free on Wednesday. The former president responded on social media, accepting the challenge and saying the president cheated and is a real threat to democracy. Charles, there's a lot to unpack there. First, there was an offer, and it was quickly accepted.I know I got a little snide remark from President Biden, but the first debate is going to happen right before Donald Trump accepts the nomination at the Republican National Convention here in Milwaukee, which is unusually early. We don't usually see it until September or October. So it's really surprising to see something happening in June before either convention. But they both jumped on this very quickly. They came to an agreement very quickly. You know, you never want to get ahead of yourself because something could still fall apart. But it looks like we're going to have two early debates. I think it's important to see the debates before early voting starts across the country. And there's one thing that both sides have agreed on, and that's to exclude RFK JR from these debates. That's what I've heard, but I've also heard conflicting reports on that. They both have a real motive to disparage Robert Kennedy. So removing him is definitely high on their agenda. Well, like I said, I've seen two different conflicting reports on whether he's going to be president or not. Hmm, but the attention being paid to these two candidates pitted against each other without any third party intervention certainly shows that the focus is on the Biden vs. Trump contest. Let's look a little bit more closely at the timing of these debates. The first debate, or the last debate, if you will, is September 10th. Well, I saw the numbers. The last time Donald Trump debated was October 19th in 2016, against Hillary Clinton. And then October 22nd in 2020, against Joe Biden. Why are we now bringing this forward to September instead of late October? I think there are two reasons. One, as I said, is to avoid early voting. We need to get people to watch the debates and get people to go and vote early. But the second reason is, I think an early debate is really important for either candidate. If either of them is not doing well and they stumble, it's not going to happen a week or two before the election. So they have time to bounce back from their mistakes. And Joe Biden appeared today on Milwaukee Black Radio's 1 on 1 7 “The Truth is Sherwin Hughes.” Well, our political director, Matt Smith, wrote a piece recently about the importance of the black vote in Wisconsin. And it's notable that Joe Biden interviewed a black journalist in Milwaukee for the first time on a predominantly black platform. What do you think about that approach? I think you'd say the Biden campaign is very focused on the black community in Milwaukee. He did an event with the Black Chamber of Commerce a few months ago. Now, his other events and appearances are focused on garnering black support in the polls. Black support is still pretty solid, but it's down a little bit in 2020 from what Hillary Clinton had in 2016. Voter turnout is a big factor, and when it comes to the black vote, people's discontent matters.Low voter turnout is a big blow to Biden, so they want to boost turnout and remind voters, especially black voters, why Biden is better for them than Trump.
New Marquette Law School poll shows Biden and Trump tied among registered voters
Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s popularity rose in polls from March to May.
Updated: May 24, 2024 1:22 PM CDT
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are deadlocked in a two-candidate presidential contest, according to a new national poll of registered voters conducted by Marquette Law School. The poll finds that in a two-candidate contest among registered voters, Biden and Trump would each receive 50% of the vote. However, in a five-candidate contest that includes Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein, and Cornel West, Trump would receive 40% of the vote, Biden 37%, Kennedy 17%, and Stein and West 3% each. Video above: Breakdown of the Trump-Biden debate Not all registered voters vote in every election. A voter survey conducted by Marquette Law School found that in a two-candidate contest, Trump would receive 51% of the vote and Biden 49%. The poll was conducted May 6-15, with a total of 1,033 voters participating and a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. The poll involved 902 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. The poll involved 684 voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points. A March survey of registered voters at Marquette University showed that in races with two candidates, the voters were tied at 50 percent, and in races with five candidates, Trump received 41 percent, Biden 38 percent, Kennedy 14 percent, West 5 percent, and Stein 2 percent. In terms of party preference among Marquette University voters, 80 percent of Republicans voted for Trump, 15 percent for Kennedy, 3 percent for Biden, and 1 percent each for Stein and West. On the Democratic side, 71 percent of voters chose Biden, 16 percent for Kennedy, 5 percent for West, and 4 percent each for Trump and Stein. Among independents, 39 percent supported Kennedy, 29 percent for Biden, 15 percent for Trump, 10 percent for West, and 8 percent for Stein. A full breakdown of the numbers, including favorability ratings and job approval ratings for Biden and Trump, can be found here.
President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are deadlocked in the two-candidate race for the presidency, according to a new nationwide survey of registered voters conducted by Marquette Law School.
In two-candidate races among registered voters, Biden and Trump each received 50 percent of the vote, but in five-candidate races that included Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein and Cornel West, Trump received 40 percent, Biden 37 percent, Kennedy 17 percent, and Stein and West 3 percent each, according to the poll.
Video above: Breakdown of the Trump-Biden debate
Not all registered voters vote in every election. A Marquette Law School poll of likely voters found that in a two-candidate race, Trump would receive 51% support, while Biden would receive 49%. In a five-candidate race, Trump would receive 44% support, Biden 41%, Kennedy 11%, and Stein and West 2% each.
The survey was conducted May 6-15 among 1,033 total voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points. The poll included 902 registered voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. The poll included 684 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.
A March Marquette University survey of voters found that in a two-candidate race, the candidates were tied at 50%, while in a five-candidate race, Trump received 41%, Biden 38%, Kennedy 14%, West 5% and Stein 2%.
A breakdown of Marquette voters by party affiliation showed that 80% of Republicans voted for Trump, 15% for Kennedy, 3% for Biden, and 1% each for Stein and West. Among Democrats, 71% voted for Biden, 16% for Kennedy, 5% for West, and 4% each for Trump and Stein. Among independents, 39% voted for Kennedy, 29% for Biden, 15% for Trump, 10% for West, and 8% for Stein.
A full breakdown of the numbers, including favorability and job approval ratings for Biden and Trump, can be found here.
