2024 Presidential Election Odds, Predictions

Odds Via BetMGM UK. Election predictions based on chances of winning the election and implied probabilities excluding bigorish.

The 2024 presidential election is fast approaching, with Donald Trump's campaign to reclaim the White House seemingly gaining momentum by the day these days.

With polls showing that Trump's trial has not affected public opinion and the former president's financial advantage over Joe Biden growing thanks to the backing of super PACs and outside groups, Trump's chances of victory in November reflect his growing momentum, according to the latest 2024 presidential election odds. Donald Trump has a 53.17% chance of winning the election, based on odds of -150..

The 53.17% chance of winning is Trump's highest probability to date of winning the 2024 election, according to Election Forecast, while the -150 odds are his highest hopes for this race.

President Biden has a 34.08% chance of winning the election, according to current odds of +160.This year, Biden's odds have fluctuated from +200 to +120. However, when Biden's odds were higher, Trump's odds didn't drop as much because candidates like Gavin Newsom and Nikki Haley were still considered somewhat viable contenders. Now, in what appears to be a November rematch between Trump and Biden, Trump has a large lead.

Recent polls have highlighted his lead, with battleground states like Pennsylvania, Arizona and Michigan creeping closer to Trump, and Trump maintaining a commanding lead in Georgia, which is especially notable since Biden flipped the state to the Democrats in 2020.

Financial reports from earlier this month showed that pro-Trump groups have raised a staggering $192 million to support his campaign, far surpassing the less than $87 million Biden has raised. Biden has an edge with $130 million in cash compared with Trump's $66.7 million, but the former president is benefiting from a financial tailwind that analysts say could play a key role as battleground states come into focus.