WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. – On Wednesday, May 1, with just over six months until the 2024 presidential election, polling data shows former President Donald Trump has made a slight resurgence nationally with all the hotly contested races remaining. It was a stark contrast to the 2020 polls, which suggested a continued lead in the state. pattern.
Trump is projected to win with 312 electoral votes to President Joe Biden's 226, similar to the April forecast based on RealClearPolling's average of dozens of polls.
However, in Michigan, Trump's lead has narrowed to just 1.2%. Although he lost in Pennsylvania, he regained the lead last month and now leads by just 1 percentage point.
Notably, President Trump is trailing in just two out of about 20 polls in all of the battleground states of North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Wisconsin, with President Trump trailing in just two out of about 20 polls, and in Michigan The difference was also 2%.
His strongest leads are in North Carolina, Arizona, Nevada and Georgia, all near or above 4%.
Trump's narrowest leads are in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Nationally, Trump has a 1.5% lead. So far in 2020, Biden has a 5.3% lead, with a 6.8% transition rate to Trump.
Below is a map of the electoral breakdown between Trump and Biden, based on polls as of May 1st.
