Maria Berza and Mark Stevenson, The Associated Press
MEXICO CITY (AP) — Climate scientist Claudia Scheinbaum held an irreversible lead Sunday in the race to become Mexico's first female president, according to early official tallies.
The head of the National Electoral Commission said a statistical sample showed Sheinbaum received between 58.3 and 60.7 percent of the vote. Opposition candidate Xochitl Gálvez got between 26.6 and 28.6 percent, and Jorge Álvarez Maínez got between 9.9 and 10.8 percent.
The ruling party candidates campaigned on a platform of continuing the political course established by their political leader, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, over the past six years.
His designated successor, Ms Sheinbaum, 61, led throughout the election despite a fierce challenge from Ms Galvez, marking the first time that Mexico's two main candidates were women.
This is breaking news. See AP's previous coverage below.
MEXICO CITY (AP) — Nationwide polls closed Sunday in a presidential election that will likely crown Mexico's first female president, but the heat, violence and division continued into election day.
Residents turned out to vote despite the fact that a town council candidate for Cuitzeo in the western state of Michoacan was shot dead by two gunmen on motorbikes just hours before the election.
Residents voted under heavy police security, but afterwards passed the home of slain candidate Israel Delgado and lit candles for the well-known local politician at an impromptu shrine on their front porch.
Nationwide, voting was largely peaceful, but if the front-runner, former Mexico City mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, wins, she is unlikely to enjoy the same unquestioned support as outgoing President Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Both men are members of the ruling Morena party.
In the Zocalo, Mexico City's main colonial square, Mr. Sheinbaum's lead initially did not draw the kind of cheering, jubilant crowds that greeted Mr. Lopez Obrador's victory in 2018.
Chef Fernando Fernandez, 28, joined a relatively small crowd hoping for a victory for Scheinbaum despite only a sliver of primary votes being counted, but even he acknowledged there are problems.
“You're voting for Claudia, for AMLO, on the basis of your beliefs,” said Fernández, who, like most Mexicans, calls López Obrador by his initials. But his biggest hope is that Sheinbaum “will fix what AMLO couldn't: gas prices, crime, drug trafficking, which he didn't fight despite being in power.”
Also in the crowd, business administrator Ichel Robledo, 28, said he hopes Sheinbaum will do what Lopez Obrador couldn't: “What Claudia needs to do is have experts in every field.”
Elsewhere in the city, Yoselyn Ramirez, 29, said she voted for Sheinbaum but split her vote for other offices because she didn't want anyone to have a supermajority.
“I don't want everything to be dominated by the same party, so I think there could be a bit more equality,” she said, without elaborating.
The main opposition candidate, Xochitl Gálvez, a technology entrepreneur and former senator, has sought to capitalize on Mexicans' concerns about their safety and promised a more aggressive approach to organized crime.
About 100 million people registered to vote, though turnout appeared to be slightly lower than in past elections. Voters also elected governors in nine of the nation's 32 states, as well as candidates for both houses of Congress and thousands of mayoral and other local offices in the nation's largest-ever election, and one marked by violence.
The election was widely seen as a referendum on Lopez Obrador, a populist who has expanded social welfare programs but has done little to reduce Mexico's drug cartel violence. His Morena party currently holds 23 of the 32 state governorships and a majority in both houses of Congress. Mexico's constitution bars the president from running for reelection.
Both of the presidential candidates are women, both of whom would be Mexico's first female presidents. A third candidate, Jorge Álvarez Minez, from a smaller party, is far behind in the polls.
Sheinbaum has pledged to continue all of Lopez Obrador's policies, including universal pensions for the elderly and apprenticeship allowances for young people.
Galvez, whose father is an indigenous Otomi, rose from selling snacks on the streets of his impoverished hometown to start his own technology company. He resigned from his senate seat last year to run for office as part of the main opposition coalition and voiced his anger at President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's “hugs, not guns” policy, which seeks to avoid a confrontation with drug cartels. He vowed to go after criminals more aggressively.
Continuing cartel violence and Mexico's mediocre economic performance were voters' main concerns.
Julio Garcia, a Mexico City office worker, said he voted for the opposition in the San Rafael district in central Mexico City. “They robbed me at gunpoint twice. We need to change direction, we need to change our leaders,” said Garcia, 34. “If we carry on doing the same thing, we will end up like Venezuela.”
In the San Andrés Totoltepec neighborhood on the outskirts of Mexico City, election officials passed Stefania Navarrete, a 34-year-old housewife, as she watched dozens of photographers and officials gather at a spot where front-runner Claudia Sheinbaum was scheduled to cast her vote.
Navarrete said he plans to vote for Scheinbaum despite his doubts about Lopez Obrador and his party.
“If we have a woman president, then for me, as a Mexican woman, it would mean going back to the situation before where being a woman meant I was limited to certain professions. That's not the case anymore.”
She said Scheinbaum's leadership's social programs are vital, but added that the worsening violence caused by drug cartels over the past few years is her biggest concern in this election.
“That's something they should be focusing on more,” she said. “For me, security is a big challenge. They said they were going to bring down the crime rate, but it's actually the opposite, the crime rate has skyrocketed. Of course, I don't blame the president entirely, but in a way it is his responsibility.”
In Iztapalapa, Mexico City's largest district, Angelina Jimenez, a 76-year-old housewife, said she came to vote “to end this incompetent government that says we're doing well but which has caused so many deaths.”
She said she plans to vote for Galvez and her promise to fight drug cartels because she is genuinely concerned about the violence plaguing Mexico. Lopez Obrador “says we are better, but that's not true. We are worse.”
President Lopez Obrador has claimed to have reduced the country's all-time high murder rate by 20% since taking office in December 2018. But this is a claim based largely on shaky interpretations of statistics; the actual murder rate appears to have only fallen by around 4% in six years.
Just as the November rematch between U.S. President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump highlighted deep divisions in the United States, Sunday's election revealed how deeply polarized Mexican public opinion is over the country's direction, including security strategy and how to grow the economy.
Besides the fight for control of Congress, Mexico's mayoral elections, now considered equivalent to a governorship, are also important — Sheinbaum is just the latest in a long line of Mexican mayors, including Lopez Obrador, who later ran for president — and gubernatorial races in the country's largest and most populous states, such as Veracruz and Jalisco, are also attracting attention.
Polls closed in most of Mexico at 6 p.m. and the first provisional partial results were expected within hours.
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Associated Press writer Fabiola Sanchez contributed to this report.
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