Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (center) had an approval rating of 11%, and analysts calculated that his presence siphoned Biden's approval rating by 5 points to Trump's 2 points.Source: Associated Press
Latest polls reveal an increasingly close race between incumbent US President Joe Biden and Donald Trump, with Biden holding a slight edge and only a 1 percentage point lead over Trump among registered voters It has been reduced to a point. New York Times/Siena College poll. As of February, Trump held a 4-point lead over Biden.
But studies have shown that the emergence of third-party candidates poses a significant threat to Biden's chances in the upcoming election.
Independent candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein have garnered attention, and Kennedy's presence has had a noticeable impact on the dynamics of the race, primarily by siphoning support from Biden. There is.
Voter psychology and economic factors
Despite Trump's divisive tenure, some voters view his presidency favorably, particularly with regard to economic prosperity and national security, which is a shift in perceived voter sentiment compared to previous years. According to the report, it is contributing to changes in guardian.
by new york timesCurrently, 42% think Trump's presidency has been better for the country than the Biden administration, while 25% disagree and another 25% say Biden has been “mostly worse” for the country.
Approval ratings for President Trump's economic response have also increased by 10% over the past four years.
The impact of independent candidates
Independent candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein have garnered attention, and Kennedy's presence has had a noticeable impact on the dynamics of the race, primarily by siphoning support from Biden. There is.
In the two-candidate race, with the addition of Kennedy, West, and Stein, Biden's approval rating dropped to 38%, matching Trump's 38%. Mr. Kennedy won 11%, Mr. West 2% and Mr. Stein 1%.
guardian It was reported that Kennedy's presence siphoned Biden's approval rating from 5 points to Trump's 2 points.
Kennedy's campaign claims to have won voting rights in six states: Hawaii, Nevada, Utah, Idaho, North Carolina, and New Hampshire. But concerns remain about the impact of his candidacy, especially as the race heats up.
Conflicting poll results
Opinion polls show conflicting results, with results varying depending on the participation of third-party candidates.
Another survey of 1,265 registered voters was released. I&I/Tip The race between the two candidates showed Biden with 43% and Trump with 40%. However, when third-party candidates are included, Biden's approval rating drops to 38%, level with Trump's 38%.
rasmussen survey The poll results show Trump maintaining his lead over Biden, with 49% of likely U.S. voters choosing Trump and 41% choosing Biden. There is.
